What lies beneath: Dormant volcanoes may be keeping explosive secrets

New research on ā€œrocky roadā€ lava samples has unearthed findings that could lead to improved early warning systems for hot spot volcanoes, including the long-dormant Glass House Mountains or Wollumbin, Mount Warning, just over the Queensland border.

Sep 16, 2021, updated May 22, 2025

The University of Queensland-led study revealed that some pure magma in cooled lava samples from hot spot volcanoes did not come from as deep below the earth’s crust as had been thought.

Instead, it was potentially closer to the surface and tipping point of eruption, according to UQ volcanologist Dr Teresa Ubide.

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She said it had been believed the cooled lava from hot spot volcanoes was pristine magma from the melting mantle, tens of kilometres under the earth’s surface.

ā€œThis isn’t quite the case – we’ve been misled, geologically deceived,ā€ Ubide said.

ā€œFor decades, we have considered hot spot volcanoes to be messengers from the earth’s mantle, offering us a glimpse into what’s happening deep under our feet.

ā€œBut these volcanoes are extremely complex inside and filter a very different melt to the surface than what we’ve been expecting.

ā€œThis is due to the volcano’s intricate plumbing system that forces many minerals in the magma to crystallise.ā€

Ubide said the scientists found the cooled lava was like a rocky road sample. Scientists had previously been analysing the nuts and marshmallows which were the crystallised minerals, but should have been concentrating on the chocolate, she said.

The findings, published in Geology journal, were an important new piece of the jigsaw to better understand how ocean island volcanoes worked and when they could erupt, Ubide said.

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She said hot spot volcanoes became highly eruptible when magma reached the base of the earth’s crust, several kilometres below the volcano.

ā€œThe close monitoring of volcanoes can indicate when magma reaches the base of the crust, where this filtering processes reaches the tipping point that leads to eruption.

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ā€œOur results support the notion that detection of magma at the crust-mantle boundary could indicate an upcoming eruption.

ā€œThis new information takes us one step closer to improving the monitoring of volcanic unrest, which aims to protect lives, infrastructure and crops.ā€

Hot spot volcanoes include the Canary Islands in the Atlantic and Hawaii in the Pacific.

The international team of researchers analysed new rock samples from the island of El Hierro, in Spain’s Canary Islands, just south-west of Morocco.

ā€œOur study is of the oceanic hot spots and we will bring this study to other volcanoes. We will be checking to see how our results apply to the volcanoes like the ones we have in Australia,ā€ Ubide said.

She said hot spot volcanoes could pop up anywhere.

ā€œSouth-east Queenslanders would be very familiar with the Glass House Mountains or the large Tweed shield volcano, which includes Wollumbin (Mount Warning) in New South Wales,ā€ she said.

ā€œThere are even dormant volcanoes in South Australia that could erupt with little warning that would benefit from better geological markers for early detection.ā€

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